tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9427504.post5231214117250752724..comments2024-02-05T02:38:13.492-06:00Comments on Ryan's Blog: Tomorrow's Severe ThreatRyanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10002778168095914184noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9427504.post-83757482363949307012009-04-01T22:31:00.000-05:002009-04-01T22:31:00.000-05:00Nice update. I get annoyed when the 12z run shows ...Nice update. I get annoyed when the 12z run shows like twice as much instability as the 00z... The NAM had been showing CAPE well above 2000 around 18-21z for the last several days, so it leaves me questioning whether the latest 2 runs are outliers or whether the models are getting a better grasp on the situation as the event gets closer. Something is going to have to change for the SPC to go high-risk, but regardless, it still looks like it could be pretty nasty across a good part of the mid-South. At least it doesn't look like it will happen during the night though. :-/Heidihttp://tornadovideos.netnoreply@blogger.com