Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Severe Weather Tonight and Tomorrow

As I type this blog at 8:35 AM, there are severe storms in the Kansas City area. We will have to track these storms all day until they arrive in Region 8 this evneing. Another round of storms comes after midnight... and maybe another tomorrow afternoon. Here are the storms that are ongoing and the track they will likely take today:
The storms in Kansas City have had some hail! Here are the most likely places to have seen hail over the past hour:

Here are some bullet points about the next 36 hours:

  • The storms in the Kansas City area will be here this evening, but will be weakening as the move into Region 8 (I hope). These storms will have some gusty winds and maybe some hail.
  • Severe storms will develop in the southern plains this evening and a severe weather outbreak is possible in Oklahoma and Kansas. These storms will weaken and move into Region 8 between midnight and daybreak. Even though they are weakening, they could be severe.
  •  If the atmosphere can recover from the storms in the morning, we may see an other round in the afternoon. IF the storms in the afternoon develop, they could be severe.
Here's the severe weather threat level today:

Here are the individual severe weather probabilities from the Storm Prediction Center for today:



Follow me on Twitter for updates through the day and the StormTRACK 8 App.

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Severe Storms This Week

Simply put, we could have strong to severe storms this week. I think the focal point will be Wednesday. Here are my bullet points for the week ahead:

  • The atmosphere becomes unstable through the day on Monday, but I'm not expecting much coverage on Monday. A little more possible on Monday night.
  • Tuesday, the atmosphere will be very unstable with a front to the north. I'm more concerned about large hail than tornadoes on Tuesday.
  • Wednesday still looks to be the main show. We have been warning about Wednesday for days. Don't panic or worry. We have been in this setup before and been fine, but it is a setup that has produced tornadoes in the past.
  • Thursday still looks unstable, but since the cold front has passed and the dynamics have move past us, it should be mainly a hail and wind threat.
  • This week, flooding should not be a problem. If there is a problem, it will be isolated. 
I'm off work today, but Rachel will break down the latest details tonight. Now is the time to make sure you have the notifications turned on for the StormTRACK 8 app. Now is the time to review your severe weather plan with your family.

I'll be doing a Facebook Live video at some point tonight. Make sure you subscribe to my Facebook page notifications and it will alert your phone: https://www.facebook.com/ryanvaughanweather/ 

Ryan

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Next Week Looks Active

The pattern next week looks like one that could produce severe weather in the southern plains to Region 8. You may have noticed that we are using some new graphics in some of our newscasts. We are testing some new equipment that has some data not available to us for "on air use" over the past few years. This map shows "CAPE" or convective available potential energy. This is the energy or fuel for storms. Notice that it GREATLY increases in the southern plains on Tuesday:
That unstable air moves east on Wednesday and could impact Region 8. It's very early, but severe weather is possible next week. It could start as early as Monday, but I'm most concerned with Wednesday. Stay tuned!

Ryan

Thursday, March 31, 2016

15 Years Ago I Started Working At KAIT

15 years ago this week, I started working at KAIT. At the time, it was "Your Good Neighbor Station". I started as the weekend meteorologist. I was young! I had a lot more hair and a few less pounds. I was a newlywed with no kids. Now, my wife and I have 4 kids and I spend most of my free time running around at their activities. If you recall, I did leave Region 8 for a couple of years to work at our sister-station in Alabama. We enjoyed our time in Alabama. We made some great life-long friends, I worked with some great people, and my wife gave birth to our second son. In 2 years, Alabama became a very important part of our lives.

With that said, it was still great to come back to Region 8! Since returning to Region 8, I have anchored thousands of newscasts with Craig and Diana. They are great teammates and friends. Craig knows this business inside and out. Whenever I have a question, need advice, or need help on editing, Craig is there. He's a great journalist. Diana is one of the nicest people in the world. She is always trying to help others and always trying to make sure things go smooth. I estimate that we have anchored over 8,000 newscasts together! When you think about that, it's incredible. Especially when you consider we have never had a serious argument!
I'm not sure what the future holds or how long I'll be in Region 8, but I really enjoy my job and enjoy raising my family here. It doesn't feel like it has been 15 years!

Have a great week,
Ryan


Monday, March 14, 2016

Proud of Our Team!

I'm very proud of my coworkers. I have not had a chance to watch much of the severe weather coverage from last night, but I've heard a lot of positive comments. That makes me happy!

Typically, I don't take vacation in severe weather season, but our kids are getting older and they are involved in sports that take us out of town from time to time. This weekend, we had a trip planned to Atlanta for AAU basketball.
The Region 8 Storm TEAM knew we were in an active pattern and that there was a chance of severe weather. I had to be out of town and Justin had vacation planned, too. Being that the severe weather hit on Sunday, both of our vacations overlapped and left a small window of time with Rachel by herself. Nature chose to not play nice with our schedule and tornado warnings were issued. Rachel did an awesome job informing Region 8 about the threats. It's very hard to cover severe weather alone, even for an older dude (like me) that has done it for years. Thankfully, Justin was in a position that allowed him to log on to our radar and help cover the severe weather from miles away.  When I realized that this was happening, it made me very proud of our team. Meanwhile, my family was on our way home from Atlanta zig-zagging through TORNADO warnings! That blue circle was our car last night. The red outline is the tornado warning. The "hook" was south of us. I was not comfortable:
It feels good to know that I can leave town and the rest of the crew on our staff can help Region 8 stay informed when severe weather hits.

In case you wondered, Atlanta was AWESOME! I strongly suggest you go sometime, if you have never been. Our team finished 2nd in the AAU Southern Showcase Super Regional. They were 4-2 on the weekend with both losses to a very good team from the Atlanta area. I was so proud they made it to the championship game for their first tournament together.  #8 is our boy:

In addition to basketball, we did a lot of sightseeing. The Coca Cola museum, the Georgia Aquarium, Olympic Park, Sweet Auburn  Market, The Varsity, and end even the subway were big hits with our family! I think we rode the tallest escalator ever when we got off of the subway!




Thank you for putting your faith in the Region 8 Storm TEAM. I hope you have a great week. I'm heading back to work in a couple of hours!

Ryan