First off, I'm not sold that we will see ANY precip. Secondly, if we see precipitation, I'm not sold that it will be snow. Maybe a mix, but not a full snow event. With the said, the GFS did very well last week... especially 3 days out. SOOO, let's wait a few more days before we get TOO excited. Fair enough? In case you are wanting to see the BUFKIT GFS profile's Overview for JBR.... Here yah go:Now, let's talk about a storm AFTER Christmas (27th).Tthat is a day that I am a little more concerned about right now. It's also an event that doesn't have a name... like White Christmas!!! Anywho, there are models hinting at a nice Southern Snow Storm next Wednesday Night and Thursday. It's a week away though and this will likely change... One model to note, is the Japanese Model. It has done very well in Winter's past, but it may be a little aggressive with this particular storm. The first image is the expected precip on the 27th. You can see that the moisture is there! The second image is the 850mb temperatures. I like to see them around -2 or below for snow. I circled the areas on the surface map that will likely see snow, IF this happens. This is still SEVERAL days out. We're just hunting for snow now! :)
Lastly, here's another graphic to get excited about... It's the DGEX model showing the snow accumulations for next week (mainly the 27th.) I'll believe it, when I see it! LOL
Now that everyone is pumped up about some snow next week, I'm going to go back to nailing down a 7 day forecast. I still do not plan on biting on to the Christmas Storm too much... We'll see.