Tuesday, September 22, 2009

El Nino Winter?

It's looking like this El Niño pattern is going to persist into the Winter. As a refresher, an El Niño pattern is noted when there is a shift in water temperature and atmospheric conditions in the Tropical Pacific ocean. The "long name" is the El Niño Southern Oscillation and the triggers behind it are still not fully understood and are still being researched.

Looking back at El Niño winters of the past can give us a "possible" glimpse at the 2009-2010 Winter. I say that cautiously, because there are variations and nothing is guaranteed.

With that said, a colder winter now appears possible. Precipitation is still questionable. El Niño winters in the past have not shown a termendous amount of precipitation, BUT the storm track is just south of us...

I have some really cool things to show you over the next few days. I'm going to look up some data reagarding some El Niños of the past. You'll be shocked to see what I dug up on the 97-98 winter and the 86-87 winter.

Stay tuned!

1 comment:

Vonavie said...

Nice to see some blog posts. I know you're twittering, but its not the same. I'm looking forward to this tech stuff. Since moving here I've gotten more interested in weather. There's not a lot of weather change to get interested in when you grow up in the San Diego area. Foggy in the morning, sunny in the afternoon, ya da ya da ya da