As I posted in the last update, the SPC has place Region 8 in a "Slight" risk zone for late today. Looking at the 500mb map, we have a decent low moving in from the west and some decent winds aloft. There are many signs pointing to some severe storms, but still some limiting factors. In particular, low level moisture. Dewpoints are very low and I'm not sold on them rising fast enough to support severe weather. Regardless of strength, a line of storms will come in this evening.
Looking at the NAM in BUFKIT, the timeline goes from right to left. In most locations, this should come in after dark with the exception of the western counties of Region 8. I have the Wood Ford StormTRACKER ready to go out and will likely be out in it when Meteorologist Justin Logan goes on air at 6:00.
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Ryan
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