Wednesday, May 18, 2011

StormCAST Performance

Models are guidance to help us forecast and here at KAIT we run our own model in the Storm Center called Super MicroCAST. On air, we call this StormCAST. It's job is to model what the atmosphere may do over the next 48-60 hours. As with any model, it has it's times of being wrong, but I really think it is dialed in these days. We have been making some adjustments to make it as accurate as possible. It's great to see when it picks up the overall trends, but when it nails the timing and location of the rain... it's really awesome.

The above image is what I showed at 5:00 and 6:00 last night. It's what StormCAST thought would be happening at 3:00 PM this afternoon. Below is an image of the Satellite and Radar at 3:00 PM:

I think it is safe to say that StormCAST is doing very well right now. As a side note, we included some slight rain chances for today and tomorrow. A big influence in that decision was based on StormCAST. I'm glad we did that!

Rain chances will really start picking up over the next few days, so get ready. If you have outdoor plans this weekend, make sure you have a plan B.

Have a great week,

No comments: