Monday, April 29, 2013

Record Cold Start to May?

If the last three runs of the GFS are correct, we could be quite chilly on Friday and Saturday. The GFS and Canadian model show the upper-level low cutting off and going over Region 8. This would result in clouds, showers, and cool temperatures. It might result in some hail producing storms as well.

One of the most difficult things to explain on TV is a record low maximum. Friday's record low maximum is 59. Meaning, that out of all of the "high" temperatures on record, 59 is the coolest. We could easily break that record in Jonesboro on Friday. Right now, we have a forecast high of only 53 degrees. Some data suggests that we may not make it out of the 40s. That is CRAZY for May 3rd!

One fly in the ointment would be if we stay into the 60s until after midnight on Thursday night into Friday morning. In that case, the "official" high would be to warm to break a record. We will watch the track of the upper-level low closely over the next few days.

Here's a 3D look:

Are you tired of cold air?

Ryan

4 comments:

Tisha Ray said...

Not tired of the cool air. I would take this over 90's and 100's any day.

Anonymous said...

I'm not tired of cold air. I'm tired of the temperature shifts that cause severe weather. According to some, May is likely to have severe tornado outbreaks. I dread it.

Douglas Yoder said...

Anonymous, you do know that tornadic activity hit an all time low recently, right? And, every day, the record for Cat 3 hurricanes hitting the U.S. gets extended. It has now been 2750 days since the last Cat 3 hit us. Also, according to your same "some" global temperatures should be much higher than they are now, but each of the first IPCC climate assessment reports have been wrong, very wrong.

http://wattsupwiththat.com/2013/05/04/tornadoes-drop-to-new-record-alltime-low/

Douglas Yoder said...

One final thing, doesn't someone ALWAYS say that about May? Isn't May the start of tornado season in Tornado Alley? And, didn't Tornado Alley get its name long before supposed global warming/cooling/change disruption?