- Don't panic, just have a way to get warnings tomorrow.
- High wind and large hail are the main threats.
- Tornado threat is low, but not nonexistent.
- Timing of the greatest threat: 7PM-10PM
- While that is the greatest threat, strong storms are possible at any point of the day.
- Storms end by midnight.
Let's dive into some maps. First off, a decaying complex of storms will enter the state from the west in the morning:
We should not be too unstable at this point and most of the storms should fizzle before reaching Region 8. Keyword... "most"... not all. Here's a look at CAPE (Storm Energy) at 7AM. Not too bad:
Now, let's fast-forward to the lunch hour. By this time, most of the storms have died out, but there could be 1-2 storms holding together OR new storms developing. I'm not too worried about these:
Even the CAPE (Storm Energy) is not that impressive, but higher than the morning. Notice the areas that get storms first will have less CAPE after they are rain cooled:
The evening is when the atmosphere gets really unstable! Here's CAPE (storm energy) at 7PM. If this happens, the evening storms will have a lot of energy to work with!
As a result, here's a projection of radar at 8PM:
Once again, these evening storms on Wednesday stand the best chance of becoming severe, with high wind and hail. Stay tuned!