When you get an upper-level low to swing right over your state, the forecast can become difficult. Mainly because you have a pool of cold air aloft that can support some surprise snow for somebody! It think we will be safe this time, though. As Bryan McCormick talked about through the weekend, the surface temperatures should stay warm enough to prevent any surprises. The storm does look a little slower than it looked when I left work on Friday. Here's how it breaks down. Rain really starts moving in here this evening:
The above image is the RPM model at 9PM. You can clearly make out the Low in Eastern OK. In fact, dry air may already be pushing in from the south. This shows showers and storms really pushing in from the Southwest. Let's fast-forward to the middle of the night...
Overall, it's not a big deal for us, but a HUGE problem NW of us! If you have travel plans in that direction over the next 24 hours, reconsider.