More Storms Coming, But Less Humid Soon!

The models were going back and forth on when the rain will move out this weekend, but we are starting to see a nice consistency in the models! The image above shows the expected rainfall from a few models. Notice the consistency in timing and amounts. Here are my thoughts on the next few days:

• Showers and storms continue with the best chance, coverage, and intensity on Friday and Saturday.
• The atmosphere will be more unstable than the past few days on Friday and Saturday, so lightning is likely. Strong storms are possible, too.
• Models have been flip-flopping, but I'm growing more confident that the rain chances drop Sunday morning.
• Less Humid air moves in late Sunday and will last through Tuesday.
• Sunshine on Monday!

Now, let's dig a little deeper. The atmosphere right now is pretty stable. We have not had much lightning lately and the rain today is light. A product that we use to see how much "energy" is in the atmosphere to produce storms is CAPE. Here's the CAPE for today. Notice the lack of yellows and oranges.  :

Going into Friday and Saturday, the air is more unstable:

I do not expect widespread severe weather, but a few storms could be strong. After the weekend, MUCH nicer air moves into Region 8! Look at the drop in dewpoints early next week:

Stay tuned for any changes over the next few days. I think we are going to like the weather early next week!

Ryan