Saturday Severe Threat

Good Friday, everyone. I'm off work today, but I finally got a chance to sit down and look at some data this evening. Here are my thoughts right now regarding severe storms on Saturday:

• Warm front provides some storms from mid-morning to lunchtime. These could be severe, but not as concerning as the storms later in the day. Don't take them lightly though.
• The afternoon will be the time when the atmosphere charges itself for evening storms. IF we get any sunshine, that would make us more unstable. That's not good.
• Right now, we have most of Region 8 under a MEDIUM risk of severe weather.
• Greatest threat will be high wind from storms. The wind dynamics with this storm are very concerning.
• Tornadoes are possible, especially in storms ahead of the main line in the evening.
• I'm worried about the wet soil being very loose and trees uprooting easily.
• All threats should end by midnight, tomorrow night

Here's what radar could look like at lunchtime. Don't take the storms along the warm front for granted, but the greater severe weather threat will be later in the day.:

By mid afternoon, the atmosphere will be more unstable. Sunshine would be bad, but some showers could make us a little more stable. Regardless, the wind profiles from the ground-aloft will support severe storms. Here's how radar could look:

The evening is the most concerning to me. We will have to watch for tornadic storms ahead of the main line and we will have to watch for high winds along the line. Even a quick spin-up tornado is possible along the line. Winds about 5,000' above our head will be blowing about 80 mph. Any heavier storm could transport that wind energy to the ground. That's not good...

We will be providing updates on the Region 8 weather app. Make sure you have your notifications turned on and make sure the "Follow me" feature is on if you are traveling across Region 8 tomorrow! All of that can be found in settings!

Have a good weekend and stay weather aware,

Ryan