- Precipitation Amount and Type
I added the 32° line to show you how close of a call it will be! One or two degrees will make or break the forecast. Regardless, the precipitation should be "light". I am trending toward the "cold" side of the forecast and have a few reasons why I am thinking it will be colder:
- Models have been too warm for the past couple of days. Why any different tomorrow night?
- Shallow cold air is hard for the models to handle. 32°F line "should" be farther South than advertised.
- The air is very dry and as the moisture comes in, we should see a process called "evaporate cooling" which should knock the temps down a little.
As my good friend Rob Hatchell said on WSFA this week, "there are no promises in winter weather forecasting", so stay tuned! Things can change, but as of now... some places may be icy on Tuesday morning. The best chance for wintry weather will be from Jonesboro to Batesville and points North.