Wednesday, July 16, 2014

Tough Forecast on Friday

We have a tough forecast on Friday. While some models keep us in a soaking rainfall and cool temperatures, one model keeps us almost completely dry. Here are four looks at the models. First the rainy ones showing the rain really increasing on Friday morning:

The fly in the ointment is the GFS model. It has the low pressure a little farther south and the rain would be farther south.

As of now, we are going with the "wetter" consensus. There are two reasons why. First, the GFS was also wetter a few days ago for Friday. Second, it is alone. Now, that's not always a determinate. I've seen models all alone before and nail it. We'll have to wait and see. In the meantime, let's plan for rain... and enjoy the nice day we have today and most of tomorrow!

Take care,

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