- Severe weather is possible Monday night into Tuesday morning.
- Strong winds, hail, and even tornadoes are possible.
- While the timing might help us with less instability, people are more vulnerable when they are asleep.
- Confidence in storms is high.
- Confidence in "severe" storms is medium right now, but growing.
- The SPC (Storm Prediction Center) is also highlighting our area for severe weather.
- Have a way to get warnings while you sleep:
- Storm TRACK 8 App
- Text STORM to 52488
- Make sure your NOAA weather radio works
- Stay tuned for changes in the forecast.
Now, let's dig into the stuff that only the weather geeks are interested in seeing. Others can get back to work! LOL
The GFS and Euro model, both show unstable air in the overnight hours of Monday night and Tuesday morning. These maps show "CAPE" or Convective Available Potential Energy. In other words, the energy needed to fuel the storms:
It's not only the unstable atmosphere that has us concerned. This is a very strong storm system. The dynamics of it are similar to storms that have produced severe storms in the past:
I won't be on air for the next couple of days, but I will be working and watching this storm develop. Stay tuned for more updates and watch Justin and Rachel over the next few days.