Friday, January 06, 2017
A Little More Than Expected... Sorry.
For our southern counties, the forecast was spot on. However, the snow nudged a little farther north and Jonesboro and surrounding areas got a little more than what we expected. Sometimes we forecast ... and God laughs.
Pinpointing exactly where a blob of moisture will go is not easy. Add in that pinpointing how much snow that blob of moisture will produce is also not easy. What fell this morning is the equivalent of seeing about 0.05-0.10" of rain. Seriously, if we had been 50°, all of this would have been sprinkles. On average, 0.10" of rainfall is 1" of snow. This morning, those ratios are even higher. About 0.05" of rain is equal to 1" of snow. Pinpointing sprinkles is also tough, but sprinkles don't shut down schools and make roads a disaster. BIG snow storms are MUCH easier to forecast than what we had this morning. Thankfully, we were not alone. The National Weather Service also did not issue a Winter Weather Advisory this far north last night. If wrong, it's good to be wrong with others. ;)
We win some and we lose some. Thankfully, we win more than we lose. I apologize to those that thought we would only see a dusting and the kids would be in school. I hope everyone that stayed home today has a relaxing 3 day weekend. Be careful if you do go out. It's not a lot of snow, but it is slick.
For those that saw no snow on the ground, be happy. At least you are not sliding around this morning!