The above image is the forecast sounding for Wednesday afternoon. The left side of the window shows the severe weather indices that we note when forecasting severe weather. BUFKIT is a nice little tool that automatically flags the noteworthy indices in red. Notice, there are a few indices that are flagged, but they are mostly borderline. For example, CAPE barely goes over 1000 and the Lifted Index (LI) only drops to around -3.8. I don't get too concerned until CAPE climbs over 1200 and LI drops to -4... this time of the year. As you can see.. it is marginal.
For those that read the blog often, you are familiar with the BUFKIT program's "overview" window. The timestamp goes from right to left and I have plotted these parameters (GFS) in the above image:
- Elevated CAPE at 1000 and above
- And my own artwork!
Sarah is still holding down the Fort, but if severe weather breaks out I will be at the station. We have adjusted well here at home and I should be able to head back to work soon.
I'm going to stay off work through Thanksgiving, unless severe weather breaks out. I actually want to go back work, but I am soooo thankful to be able to stay at home to help my family. I have only called in sick 2 days during my seven years with Raycom Media... It's nice to have the days available!
Management has been very understanding and Sarah has really stepped up! Shoot her an email and thank her, if you get a chance! firstname.lastname@example.org
Take care and we'll keep you posted on the weather. Get ready for cold weather!